TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a La Liga soccer match between Real Betis Balompié and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets are offered on both Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary outcomes for each team's victory and a draw result. Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on game cancellation (no make-up), while Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance for its tie outcome market. This creates different payoff profiles for draw traders in a low-probability but high-impact scenario.Hero Tip:
Traders holding draw positions should verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol directly. If Kalshi voids on cancellation while Polymarket pays YES, this creates an arbitrage opportunity but also unhedged tail risk. Monitor La Liga's official schedule for any postponement announcements.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Offers three separate binary markets. Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up scheduled. Postponements keep market open until completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'Kalshi:
Offers three outcome-based markets covering all possible results (Vallecano win, Betis win, Tie). No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data. Assumes standard sports market protocol but lacks clarity on void/cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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