TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:40 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between RCD Mallorca and UD Las Palmas, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "RCD Mallorca" if RCD Mallorca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "UD Las Palmas" if UD Las Palmas are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between RCD Mallorca and UD Las Palmas, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "RCD Mallorca" if RCD Mallorca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "UD Las Palmas" if UD Las Palmas are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by individuals directly wagering on the outcome, potentially leading to odds that more closely align with true probabilities as perceived by informed bettors. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, analytical approaches, and risk tolerance between prediction market participants and sportsbook operators.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each scenario. The current volume traded provides insight into the level of interest in this event.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the RCD Mallorca vs. UD Las Palmas match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Any disputes will be resolved based on the official game data, ensuring a fair and transparent process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either RCD Mallorca or UD Las Palmas would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of wins or losses, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting playing style, could play a role. Any unexpected announcements related to team tactics or starting lineups could also lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.