TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market group concerns the result of the second half of a La Liga match between RCD Espanyol de Barcelona and Club Atlético de Madrid. Users are predicting which team will win the second half, or if it will end in a draw. Resolution is based on goals scored in the second half, including stoppage time.
In the upcoming La Liga game between RCD Espanyol de Barcelona and Club Atlético de Madrid, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "RCD Espanyol de Barcelona" if RCD Espanyol de Barcelona score more goals than Club Atlético de Madrid in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if RCD Espanyol de Barcelona and Club Atlético de Madrid score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Atlético de Madrid" if Club Atlético de Madrid score more goals than RCD Espanyol de Barcelona in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming La Liga game between RCD Espanyol de Barcelona and Club Atlético de Madrid, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "RCD Espanyol de Barcelona" if RCD Espanyol de Barcelona score more goals than Club Atlético de Madrid in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if RCD Espanyol de Barcelona and Club Atlético de Madrid score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Atlético de Madrid" if Club Atlético de Madrid score more goals than RCD Espanyol de Barcelona in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on all sides, while prediction markets allow individuals to express their beliefs directly, leading to prices driven by supply and demand. This can result in prediction market odds being more accurate, especially when there's significant public information available, or differing from sportsbook odds if the market anticipates information not yet factored into sportsbook lines. The current volume of $59 suggests active trading on this event.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket currently favors Club Atlético de Madrid to win the second half at approximately 52%, while Predict leans toward RCD Espanyol de Barcelona. These discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among traders on each platform, or simply from random fluctuations in trading activity. Additionally, the liquidity – or volume – of $59 can influence price discovery, with lower volume markets being more susceptible to price swings based on individual trades. These factors contribute to the independent price formation observed on each platform.