TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo La Liga match scheduled for April 12, 2026. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Celta leading, Draw, Oviedo leading), while Kalshi presents a single market covering all three possible halftime outcomes. Both platforms resolve based on the official halftime score after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket presents three separate binary markets that are mutually exclusive, while Kalshi presents a single market that covers all three possible outcomes. The underlying halftime result determination is consistent, but the market structures are incompatible.Hero Tip:
Understand that Polymarket's three markets function as a partition of outcomes (one wins, two lose), while Kalshi's market always resolves Yes. Do not treat these as directly comparable or hedgeable against each other. Polymarket offers granular outcome selection; Kalshi offers a certainty contract on halftime completion.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: (1) Celta leading at HT resolves Yes if Celta scores more goals in first 45 min + stoppage; (2) Draw at HT resolves Yes if equal goals; (3) Oviedo leading at HT resolves Yes if Oviedo scores more. Exactly one resolves Yes, others No. Resolution source: official governing body statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.Kalshi:
Single market with three resolution paths, all resolving to Yes: Celta win at HT, Oviedo win at HT, or Tie at HT. Market always resolves Yes (covers all possible halftime outcomes). Resolves based on first half result after 45 minutes plus stoppage time in the La Liga match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.