Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) for RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo on April 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official La Liga statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Polymarket Market 1 (Celta Win) resolves YES if and only if RC Celta de Vigo wins in 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
Polymarket Market 2 (Draw) resolves YES if the match ends in a draw; otherwise NO. If canceled with no make-up game, this market resolves YES.
Polymarket Market 3 (Oviedo Win) resolves YES if and only if Real Oviedo wins in 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
Kalshi Markets 1-3 resolve YES if Celta Vigo wins, Oviedo wins, or a tie occurs respectively, all measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Exactly one of the three outcomes (Celta win, draw, Oviedo win) will resolve YES across both platforms.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and the win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's outcome is determined by the final result if rescheduled, or by the cancellation clause if not.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date.
Match Cancellation Without Reschedule: On Polymarket, the draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's resolution in this scenario follows the same logic: if no match occurs, the draw outcome is treated as the effective result.
Extra Time and Penalties: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalties from resolution scope. Only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts.
Official Source Delay: If La Liga does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms permit resolution based on consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon completion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the match on April 12, 2026, with official La Liga statistics as the primary source. If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, resolution is based on credible reporting consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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