TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a La Liga soccer match between RC Celta de Vigo and Real Betis Balompié, specifically whether the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi indicates a 99.0% chance of a draw. Resolution will be based on official match statistics, with Flashscore and Sofascore as secondary sources if needed, as defined by the event organizers. A 1.0% probability is assigned to RC Celta de Vigo winning on October 25, 2026. Keep an eye on October 25, 2026, as this is the scheduled date for the match’s completion and the point at which the market will resolve.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between RC Celta de Vigo and Real Betis Balompié.
The event resolves based on the result of the Celta Vigo vs Real Betis professional La Liga soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Celta Vigo wins, the 'Celta Vigo' market resolves to Yes. If Real Betis wins, the 'Real Betis' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result within regular time.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between RC Celta de Vigo and Real Betis Balompié.
Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Differences in the volume traded on each platform—currently $3,845,178 overall—can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing interpretations of available information regarding team form, injuries, or tactical changes can lead to divergent opinions among traders on each venue. These factors combine to create potentially distinct probabilities for the same event across different prediction markets.