TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais
Volume:
$9,418,276
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Europa League match between RC Celta de Vigo and Olympique Lyonnais scheduled for March 12, 2026. Three binary markets track the outcome: whether Lyon wins, whether Celta wins, or whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: 90-minute result only, same postponement/cancellation handling, and consistent primary source hierarchy (official governing body then credible consensus).
Primary resolution logic:
UEFA official match statistics; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus from major sports news outlets.Core resolution logic:
- Match result determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: RC Celta de Vigo wins (Yes for Celta market, No for Lyon and Draw markets), Olympique Lyonnais wins (Yes for Lyon market, No for Celta and Draw markets), or Draw (Yes for Draw market, No for both win markets).
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed and resolved.
- If match is canceled entirely with no rescheduled make-up game: Draw market resolves to Yes; both Celta win and Lyon win markets resolve to No.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played and completed. Resolution occurs after the rescheduled match concludes.
- Cancellation without rescheduling: Draw market resolves Yes; Celta win market resolves No; Lyon win market resolves No.
- Official statistics delay: If UEFA does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible reporting sources (major sports news outlets, official team announcements).
- Extra time or penalties: Not included in resolution scope. Only the 90-minute result plus stoppage time determines the outcome.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on March 12, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed. Official resolution source must be available or consensus established within 2 hours of match conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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