TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This group contains a comprehensive set of markets related to the RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés La Liga match on October 18th. Markets cover various spread and over/under outcomes for the entire game and for the first and second halves, as well as both teams to score scenarios.
More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for October 18 at 10:15 AM ET.
More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for October 18 at 10:15 AM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, both types of odds aim to accurately represent the probability of an event occurring, and comparing them can provide valuable insights into the perceived likelihood of different outcomes in this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific dynamics. Each platform attracts a different set of participants with varying levels of expertise and information. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Polymarket might have a higher concentration of informed traders, while Predict could be more susceptible to sentiment-driven fluctuations. These factors contribute to the possibility of price discrepancies, even for the same underlying event – the Celta vs. Alavés match.