TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:33 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between RB Leipzig (LEI) and SV Elversberg (ELV), scheduled for 2026-10-24 13:30 UTC. - LEI: If RB Leipzig wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - ELV: If SV Elversberg wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both LEI and ELV options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between RB Leipzig (LEI) and SV Elversberg (ELV), scheduled for 2026-10-24 13:30 UTC. - LEI: If RB Leipzig wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - ELV: If SV Elversberg wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both LEI and ELV options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission, which influences their odds, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it could suggest that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different information and methodologies, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of traders regarding the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the RB Leipzig vs Elversberg match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against established sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from analysts could also play a role. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or media coverage, might also impact trading activity and the prices within this market. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.