TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between RB Leipzig and PSV, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "RB Leipzig" if RB Leipzig are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "PSV" if PSV are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between RB Leipzig and PSV, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "RB Leipzig" if RB Leipzig are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "PSV" if PSV are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those seen here, it could indicate a potential opportunity for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees a correct prediction. Analyzing the discrepancy can be a useful strategy when considering where to place your bets.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular team to score first, the price of that contract increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price and the probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the RB Leipzig vs. PSV match. If the match ends without a goal being scored, the market will resolve as ‘No Goal Scored’ if that option was offered. The outcome will be determined by official match records and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a fair and accurate resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either RB Leipzig or PSV would likely cause significant movement. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as a change in formation or starting lineup, could also shift expectations. Even broader factors like weather conditions on match day or unexpected changes in team morale could play a role. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market fluctuations.