TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg
polymarket
opinion
predict
limitless
kalshi

What is the result of RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg?

Total volume:
$6,985
Volume 24h:
$6,886
9,050%
Liquidity:
$46,666
36%
Open interest:
$6,934
14,050%

Leipzig

all

5 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

Opinion

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 04d:19h:34m

Leipzig wins

67%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 67¢ buys you 149 shares | Odds: 67% Total Payout: $149 | Net Profit: $49 Multiplier: 1.49x | ROI: 49% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Leipzig

Trade
67%
Yes 67¢No 34¢
1¢
N/A
$1,523
3,140%
N/A
$1,523
4d 19h 34m
Active
polymarket

RB Leipzig

Trade
67%
Yes 67¢No 34¢
1¢
$9,138
$42
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 16h 34m
Active
predict

LEI

Trade
66%
1%
Yes 67¢No 35¢
2¢
$10,042
$9
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 34m
Active
opinion

RB Leipzig wins

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 16h 34m
Active
limitless

RB Leipzig

Trade
N/A
N/A
1.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 16h 34m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
67%
Yes 67¢No 34.3¢
Avg: 1.4¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
18%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
1¢
N/A
$5,409
540,754%
N/A
$5,409
4d 19h 34m
Active
polymarket

Draw (RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg)

Trade
17%
Yes 18¢No 84¢
2¢
$9,982
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 16h 34m
Active
opinion

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 16h 34m
Active
predict

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
$3,641
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 34m
Active
limitless

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
2.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 16h 34m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
18%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
Avg: 1.9¢Max: 2.5¢
polymarket

FC Augsburg

Trade
17%
Yes 18¢No 84¢
2¢
$10,229
$1
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 16h 34m
Active
kalshi

Augsburg

Trade
15%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
N/A
$3
150%
N/A
$3
4d 19h 34m
Active
opinion

FC Augsburg wins

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 16h 34m
Active
predict

AUG

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
$3,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 34m
Active
limitless

FC Augsburg

Trade
N/A
N/A
2.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 16h 34m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
15.6%
Yes 17.5¢No 84¢
Avg: 1.9¢Max: 2.5¢
Total markets: 15

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg Bundesliga match scheduled for November 7, 2026. Markets ask whether RB Leipzig, FC Augsburg, or a draw will occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs across platforms, and Polymarket/Opinion resolve the draw market differently than Kalshi.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket and Opinion markets will be more affected by a cancellation than Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if either team wins or the game ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No specific handling for game cancellation beyond remaining open until completed.
  • Polymarket: Resolves 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Resolves 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw. Otherwise, resolves 'No' if RB Leipzig does not win.
  • Opinion: Resolves 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw. Resolves 'No' if either team wins.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Leipzig vs Augsburg professional Bundesliga soccer match originally scheduled for November 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for Leipzig, Augsburg, or Tie occurs if the respective team wins, or the match ends level, within this regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under exceptional circumstances.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 7, 2026, 14:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Opinion

This market refers to the Bundesliga match between RB Leipzig (LEI) and FC Augsburg (AUG), scheduled for 2026-11-07 14:30 UTC. - LEI: If RB Leipzig wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - AUG: If FC Augsburg wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both LEI and AUG options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the RB Leipzig vs. Augsburg match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $6,985, with $1,483 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving and compare probabilities across different venues. The dashboard provides a unified view of the market, aggregating data to show where the crowd believes the most likely result lies. This is a dynamic representation of collective intelligence about the match’s outcome.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and perceived public interest, aiming to balance their book. Prediction markets, however, are driven by actual money at stake, allowing participants to express their beliefs directly. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may incorporate subjective elements, this market reflects a purely incentive-driven assessment of the RB Leipzig vs. Augsburg match’s likely outcome.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi for the RB Leipzig vs. Augsburg match can arise due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence pricing. Additionally, differing market-making strategies and risk appetites among traders on each platform contribute to these variations. Polymarket currently favors a draw at 66.5%, while Kalshi leans toward RB Leipzig winning at 67.0%. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each exchange and how traders interpret the available information.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the RB Leipzig vs. Augsburg match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the resolution reflected in their positions shortly after the match concludes. This ensures a fair and transparent process for settling this market, based on objective and widely accepted data regarding the match’s final result.

Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 8, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either RB Leipzig or FC Augsburg would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about key personnel or coaching decisions could also move the market. Any information that alters the perceived probability of a win for either side, or the likelihood of a draw, will be reflected in the trading volume and price fluctuations of this market.