TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Jeremiyah Love
- Kalshi
Jeremiyah Love - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 01h:13m:09s
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This market assesses whether specific running backs will rank among the top performers in fantasy football points during Week 8 of the 2026 NFL regular season, using a points-per-reception scoring system that includes all statistical categories for individual players.
Each market resolves to "Yes" if the named running back finishes within the top five in total full-PPR fantasy points for all eligible RBs in Week 8 of the 2026 NFL regular season, as calculated by Sleeper’s scoring system including overtime. Players who do not participate that week are treated as scoring zero points. Ties at the qualifying positions follow dead-heat rules, with contracts settling proportionally (e.g., $0.50 each for two tied players). The scoring system awards points for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, defense/special teams, and individual-player special teams/fumbles, with specific values per yard, touchdown, reception, and other statistical achievements as detailed in Sleeper’s default full-PPR format.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to express their belief about which running backs will perform best. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations, and these differences can present opportunities for informed traders. It’s common to see the market adjust as new information becomes available, potentially leading to convergence or continued divergence with sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a given running back will finish in the top 5. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. Higher demand for a contract drives up its price, indicating increased confidence in that running back's performance, while increased selling pressure lowers the price.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official fantasy point totals for Week 8 are verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on standard fantasy football scoring rules as defined by major fantasy sports platforms. The running backs who achieve the top 5 highest fantasy point totals will determine the winning contracts in this market. The final rankings will be sourced from publicly available and widely accepted fantasy football data sources.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports are a major catalyst, as news of a key running back's injury could significantly shift probabilities. Changes in team dynamics, such as a shift in offensive play-calling or the emergence of a new receiving threat, could also impact expectations. Unexpected performance in previous games, or even weather forecasts affecting game conditions, could all move this market. Finally, any significant news related to player availability or coaching decisions will likely be reflected in trading volume and price adjustments.