TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 8:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in Thailand's top league. It allows participants to speculate on whether a specific team will win or if the game will end in a draw. The resolution depends solely on the result after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warriors Thai League 1 soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; a 'Tie' outcome occurs if both teams finish level after the same period. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect resolution. If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours, all markets resolve at fair prices according to platform guidelines. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge closer to the event date as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure pushing prices higher and increased selling pressure pushing them lower. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warriors match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Rayong FC or a win for Lamphun Warriors – is the correct one based on the final score. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Rayong FC or Lamphun Warriors could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create price movements, as can updates from reliable sports analysts regarding team strategies or predicted lineups. These signals all contribute to the dynamic pricing of the market.