TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a La Liga soccer match between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Real Oviedo scheduled for February 7, 2026. Markets across platforms assess the outcome (Vallecano win, Oviedo win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and postponement handling differs between platforms. Kalshi omits explicit cancellation language, while Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation but win markets resolve No, creating asymmetric risk.Hero Tip:
Assume the match will be played as scheduled. If cancellation occurs, expect Polymarket draw market to resolve Yes and win markets to resolve No. Kalshi's behavior on cancellation is undefined—contact support. For normal play, all platforms align on 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Vallecano win (Yes/No), Oviedo win (Yes/No), and Draw (Yes/No). Win markets resolve No on cancellation with no make-up game; draw market resolves Yes on cancellation. Postponement keeps all markets open. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) vs. draw market 'this market will resolve Yes'.Kalshi:
Three separate markets covering all possible outcomes (Vallecano win, Tie, Oviedo win), each resolving to Yes if that outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation, postponement, or edge-case language provided. Key Quote: 'does not include extra time or penalties'—no mention of cancellation protocol.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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