TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:38 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and RC Celta de Vigo, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid" if Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "RC Celta de Vigo" if RC Celta de Vigo are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and RC Celta de Vigo, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid" if Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "RC Celta de Vigo" if RC Celta de Vigo are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Rayo Vallecano or Celta will score first in the first half. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions are accurate. The market efficiently aggregates the collective intelligence of traders to arrive at a probability assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if any, scores the first goal in the first half of the Rayo Vallecano versus Celta match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against reliable sports news sources. The outcome will be a clear determination of which team scored first, or if no goal was scored during the first half.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Rayo Vallecano or Celta could significantly shift the odds. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might influence expectations about scoring opportunities. Any significant news related to team morale or recent performance could also contribute to movement in this market.