TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.3b
24H VOL:
$93,387,099
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,308,349,129
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,128,436,440
319,783
Markets across
31,466
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,940
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
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What is the result of Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés?
Tie
all
3 markets
Kalshi
100%
Polymarket
100%
Limitless
100%
consensus
100%
spread
100-100%
(0pp)
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 14
Aug 15
Aug 16
Aug 17
Aug 19
Aug 20
Aug 21
Vol.
$553.5k
·
Latest in Sports
Closed: Aug 20, 5:33 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether the upcoming La Liga match between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Deportivo Alavés, scheduled for August 20, 2026, will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 100.0% across Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi. Resolution is based on official statistics from La Liga. Watch the match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on August 20, 2026, as this will determine the outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms resolve based on the same criteria: the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using La Liga's official statistics as the primary source.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (La Liga)Core resolution logic:
- Resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Use La Liga's official statistics as the primary resolution source
- If official results are not published within 2 hours after the match, use a consensus of credible reporting
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed. If canceled entirely with no make-up game, outcomes vary by platform but are clearly defined in each market's terms.
- Cancellation Before Start: Limitless resolves draw as 'YES'; Polymarket resolves all outcomes as 'NO' unless specified otherwise. Kalshi resolves all as 'YES'.
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Thursday, August 20, 2026 between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Deportivo Alavés.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the result of the Vallecano vs Alaves professional La Liga soccer match originally scheduled for August 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Vallecano win, Alaves win, or a tie. If Vallecano scores more goals than Alaves by the end of regulation time, the Vallecano market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Alaves scores more goals, their market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of goals, the Tie market resolves to Yes. No extra time or penalty shootouts are considered in determining the outcome. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for August 20, 2026, 19:00 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than October 19, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts distinct user bases and has unique liquidity conditions. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, differing trading volumes and user sentiment can push probabilities apart. Additionally, each venue may have slightly different market designs or fee structures that influence how traders place bets, leading to varied price discovery for this market.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or shifting team form can all influence this market as the match nears. Traders will also react to any last-minute news, such as tactical changes or managerial decisions, which could cause rapid shifts in implied probabilities on both Polymarket and Kalshi before the final whistle.
