TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club
Volume:
$993,898
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the La Liga match between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Athletic Club (Bilbao) scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Rayo win, draw, or Athletic Club win, evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation scenario handling differs between platforms. Polymarket treats full cancellation as Rayo No / Athletic No / Draw Yes, while Kalshi treats it as all outcomes resolving Yes. This is a low-probability edge case that does not affect the primary resolution path.Hero Tip:
For practical trading purposes, focus on the match outcome at 90+stoppage minutes. The cancellation divergence is unlikely to matter; if it does occur, be aware that Polymarket's draw market and Kalshi's tie market will resolve oppositely in a no-makeup-game scenario. Monitor La Liga's official schedule for any postponement or cancellation announcements.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Rayo win Yes/No, Draw Yes/No, Athletic win Yes/No. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Rayo and Athletic to No, Draw to Yes. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for win markets) and 'Yes' (for draw market).
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Bilbao win, Tie, Vallecano win) that collectively cover all possibilities. Cancellation logic not explicitly stated; implicit treatment suggests all outcomes resolve Yes in a tie/no-result scenario. Quote: 'If Tie wins the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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