TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:09 AM EST
Polymarket
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Ravens and Falcons, scheduled for October 11 at 8:20 PM ET.
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Ravens and Falcons, scheduled for October 11 at 8:20 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. This can sometimes lead to opportunities for arbitrage, where you can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each player prop outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating growing confidence in that result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions prove accurate. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of potential player performances.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics from the Ravens-Falcons game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official player statistics for the game, such as total passing yards, rushing attempts, or touchdowns scored. These statistics will be sourced from official league data and will determine which outcomes in this market are considered correct and which are incorrect. Traders holding shares in winning outcomes will be paid out according to the market’s payout structure.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather forecasts could significantly impact trader sentiment. A key injury to a starting player, for example, would likely shift odds away from props related to that player’s performance. Late-breaking news about a player’s health or playing time, or even analyst reports questioning a player’s matchup, could also cause substantial price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.