TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:33 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Ravenna and Campobasso. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the match result as it stands after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Ravenna vs Campobasso Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Ravenna market occurs if Ravenna wins the match in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Campobasso occurs if Campobasso secures the victory during the same period. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect any market outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives as traders buy and sell contracts. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders, as they attempt to capitalize on mispricings between the two types of markets. However, as the event nears, the odds on this market and sportsbook odds tend to converge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Ravenna vs Campobasto match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ravenna vs Campobasto match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in market perception. Monitoring these signals and events is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities within this market as it approaches resolution.