TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in Thailand's top league. It focuses on determining whether either of the two competing teams wins the match within regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Rasisalai United vs Ayutthaya Utd Thai League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026: a win for Rasisalai United, a win for Ayutthaya Utd, or a tie. The market resolves based solely on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' outcome is triggered. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will instead resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under exceptional circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the need to balance their risk, while this market relies on individuals’ willingness to buy or sell contracts representing different outcomes. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, analytical approaches, and biases. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or debate surrounding the event. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into market perceptions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a particular outcome. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the market participants. As more traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of that contract increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure liquidity and facilitate trading, allowing for efficient price discovery. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event’s potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Rasisalai United vs Ayutthaya Utd match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league organizers. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Rasisalai United, a win for Ayutthaya Utd, or a draw – actually occurred during the scheduled match. All trading will cease upon resolution, and contracts will be settled accordingly based on the verified result.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team form, key player injuries, suspensions, or tactical changes could shift expectations and impact prices. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and the likelihood of certain outcomes. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage can influence trader behavior, causing fluctuations in volume and price. Significant pre-match analysis from reputable sources or unexpected lineup announcements could also move the market.