TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Raptors vs. Wizards
Volume:
$10,081,243
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Toronto Raptors and Washington Wizards scheduled for February 28, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, first-half variants, and individual player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists) across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Washington win and Toronto win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source. For all markets, resolution depends on final score from NBA.com official box score. Confirm game is not canceled (which would trigger 50-50 resolution) or postponed (which keeps markets open). For player props, verify player participation status; inactive players resolve to No.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary moneyline with clear logic: Raptors win resolves to Raptors, Wizards win resolves to Wizards. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no make-up resolves 50-50. Source: NBA.com final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contradictory logic: States both 'If Washington wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Toronto wins... resolves to Yes.' No mechanism to distinguish outcomes. Market is logically broken and unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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