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410,833
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Closed: Oct 25, 9:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Collin Murray-Boyles will have over or under 1.5 assists in the Raptors vs. Timberwolves NBA game. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of Collin Murray-Boyles exceeding 1.5 assists. Resolution will be based on the official stats reported on https://www.nba.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 25 at 7:00PM ET, as the final assist count from that fixture will determine the market’s outcome.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 7:00PM ET: If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to trade on their own informed opinions. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or lineup changes – the prediction market odds can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. This can sometimes lead to discrepancies, offering opportunities for arbitrage or identifying where the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange shares, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time forecast for the Raptors-Timberwolves game. The more shares purchased for a specific outcome, the higher its price and the greater the implied probability.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Raptors-Timberwolves game as reported by a major sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Raptors win or a Timberwolves win – is the correct result based on these publicly available sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Key player injuries to stars on either the Raptors or Timberwolves would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Unexpected lineup changes, coaching decisions, or even significant news regarding team morale could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on the teams' recent performance or head-to-head records could sway market sentiment. Major news events or even social media trends related to the game could also contribute to price movements in this market.