TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Ranji Trophy: Uttar Pradesh vs Baroda
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Uttar Pradesh vs Baroda?

Total volume:
$809
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$512
981%
Open interest:
$409
90%

Draw/Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 04d:00h:03m

Draw/Tie wins

43%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 58¢ buys you 172 shares | Odds: 43% Total Payout: $172 | Net Profit: $72 Multiplier: 1.72x | ROI: 72% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Draw/Tie

Trade
43%
Yes 58¢No 71¢
29¢
N/A
$204
0%
N/A
$153
4d 3m
Active
polymarket

Draw

Trade
39%
5%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
$294
$18
0%
N/A
N/A
6d 3m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
43%
Yes 79¢No 60.5¢
Avg: 29¢Max: 29¢
kalshi

Baroda

Trade
19%
Yes 45¢No 80¢
25¢
N/A
$144
0%
N/A
$84
4d 3m
Active
polymarket

Baroda

Trade
33%
17%
Yes 49¢No 84¢
33¢
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 3m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
19%
Yes 45¢No 80¢
Avg: 29¢Max: 33¢
kalshi

Uttar Pradesh

Trade
8%
Yes 33¢No 94¢
27¢
N/A
$443
0%
N/A
$172
4d 3m
Active
polymarket

Uttar Pradesh

Trade
20%
29%
Yes 37¢No 97¢
34¢
$107
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 3m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
8%
Yes 33¢No 94¢
Avg: 30.5¢Max: 34¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a Ranji Trophy cricket match between Uttar Pradesh and Baroda, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Markets ask whether Uttar Pradesh will win, Baroda will win, or the match will end in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides detailed tiebreak and cancellation rules, while Kalshi's markets are more basic and lack these specifics.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket if you want to account for tiebreak scenarios and potential cancellations. Kalshi's markets are simpler, but may not fully reflect all possible outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official statistics, with a Super Over tiebreak if available, and resolves to a draw if the match is canceled or doesn't start by November 3, 2026. "If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution."
  • Kalshi: Simply asks if a team wins or if the match is a draw/tie. No specific tiebreak or cancellation rules are explicitly stated. "If Uttar Pradesh and Baroda draw or tie in the Uttar Pradesh vs Baroda men's professional Test series cricket match originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 at 11:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Ranji Trophy cricket match between Uttar Pradesh and Baroda, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve to draw. If the match otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Uttar Pradesh vs Baroda men's professional Test series cricket match scheduled for November 1, 2026. If Uttar Pradesh wins, the 'Uttar Pradesh' market resolves to Yes; if Baroda wins, the 'Baroda' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a draw or tie, the 'Draw/Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled before commencement or abandoned prior to the toss with no official result declared, all markets resolve to a fair market price. If the match is delayed beyond five days from its original start time before beginning, all markets also resolve to a fair market price. If the match is abandoned after the toss has occurred, all markets resolve according to the official result recorded by the governing body of the relevant competition.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts from multiple prediction markets, specifically Polymarket and Kalshi, regarding the outcome of the Uttar Pradesh vs Baroda match. Currently, the consensus view shows a slight lean toward Uttar Pradesh winning, with an estimated probability around 49.5% across these platforms. The total volume traded across these markets is $809, with $809 changing hands in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive view of expectations, combining insights from different forecasting communities to provide a more robust prediction than any single source could offer.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a margin for themselves. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs, leading to odds that may be more accurate, especially when information is asymmetric or subjective. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, access to information, and the incentive structures of each venue.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Uttar Pradesh vs Baroda match. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; lower volume can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Uttar Pradesh winning at 39.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Uttar Pradesh winning at 43.0%.

This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Ranji Trophy match between Uttar Pradesh and Baroda. We will look to established sports news sources and the official tournament organizers to verify the winner of the match. The outcome of this market will reflect the team that is officially declared the victor in the Uttar Pradesh vs Baroda contest.

Several factors could influence this market before it resolves around Nov 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team composition, or weather conditions impacting the match could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in preceding matches, or even strategic announcements from team management, could also move the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, may also play a role, influencing traders' perceptions of each team's chances. Keep an eye on these signals as they unfold to observe how this market reacts.