TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$321,553,888
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,994,878,661
419,895
Markets across
39,929
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 12:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the cricket match between Rajasthan and Railways scheduled for October 18 2026 at 12:00 AM ET in Ranji Trophy.
This market refers to the cricket match between Rajasthan and Railways scheduled for October 18 2026 at 12:00 AM ET in Ranji Trophy.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individual traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market’s lifecycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information and viewpoints that sportsbooks might not immediately consider. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. As more shares are traded, the price of each share adjusts to reflect the collective probability assigned by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share can be interpreted as the probability of that outcome occurring; for example, a share priced at $0.60 implies a 60% chance of that outcome being realized. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rajasthan vs Railways match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The market will determine which outcome—or outcomes, depending on the market structure—is the winner based on the official scorecard and match results. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome(s) will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Key player injuries or unexpected team lineup changes for either Rajasthan or Railways would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Weather forecasts, particularly if they predict conditions favorable to one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any news regarding pitch conditions or strategic decisions made by team management could introduce new information that traders factor into their predictions. Performance in preceding matches or recent form of key players will also be closely watched.