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Ranji Trophy: Himachal Pradesh vs Rajasthan
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Himachal Pradesh vs Rajasthan?

Total volume:
$1,907
Volume 24h:
$1,907N/A
Liquidity:
$361
59%
Open interest:
$1,316
201%

Himachal Pradesh

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 04d:07h:33m

Himachal Pradesh wins

52%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 75¢ buys you 133 shares | Odds: 52% Total Payout: $133 | Net Profit: $33 Multiplier: 1.33x | ROI: 33% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Himachal Pradesh

Trade
52%
Yes 75¢No 71¢
46¢
N/A
$746
0%
N/A
$486
4d 7h 33m
Active
polymarket

Himachal Pradesh

Trade
52%
Yes 79¢No 75¢
54¢
$256
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 7h 33m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
52%
Yes 75¢No 71¢
Avg: 50¢Max: 54¢
kalshi

Rajasthan

Trade
25%
55%
Yes 55¢No 75¢
30¢
N/A
$772
965,325%
N/A
$640
4d 7h 33m
Active
polymarket

Rajasthan

Trade
40%
Yes 59¢No 79¢
38¢
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 7h 33m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
25%
Yes 55¢No 75¢
Avg: 34¢Max: 38¢
kalshi

Draw/Tie

Trade
1%
Yes 11¢No 99¢
10¢
N/A
$389
0%
N/A
$190
4d 7h 33m
Active
polymarket

Draw

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
$49
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 7h 33m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 11¢No 99¢
Avg: 10¢Max: 10¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a Ranji Trophy cricket match between Himachal Pradesh and Rajasthan. Markets exist on which team will win, and whether the match will end in a draw. Resolution depends on official match statistics, with provisions for draws, abandoned matches, and tiebreakers.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on the same criteria for determining a winner or a draw, utilizing official match statistics and addressing tiebreakers and abandonment scenarios.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body (BCCI)

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the team that wins the match according to official statistics.
  • If the match ends in a tie and a tiebreaker is used, the winner of the tiebreaker is the resolution.
  • If the match ends in a tie without a tiebreaker, or is canceled/abandoned without a result, the market resolves to a draw.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Abandoned Match: If the match is canceled or does not start by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned without an official result by that time, the market resolves to a draw.
  • DLS/DRS Impact: DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads to a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the official match statistics are published by the BCCI, or within 2 hours of the event's conclusion if the BCCI has not published statistics, using a consensus of credible reporting.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Ranji Trophy cricket match between Himachal Pradesh and Rajasthan, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve to draw. If the match otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Himachal Pradesh vs Rajasthan men’s professional Test series cricket match scheduled for November 1, 2026, at 11:00 PM EST. If either team wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a draw or tie, the “Draw/Tie” market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled before commencement or abandoned before the toss occurs with no official result declared, all markets resolve to a fair market price. If the match is delayed by more than five days from its original start time before commencement, all markets also resolve to a fair market price. However, if the match is abandoned after the toss has occurred, markets will resolve according to the official result recorded by the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Ranji Trophy match across multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of the probabilities for various outcomes in the match. Currently, the total volume across these platforms is $1,907, with $1,865 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how the 'wisdom of the crowd' is assessing the likely result of the Ranji Trophy match, offering a combined perspective beyond any single prediction market.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate factors like team news and betting limits, while prediction markets are driven by the collective forecasts of informed traders. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more quickly incorporate new information or reflect the opinions of a more specialized group. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of an event, and comparing them can offer a more nuanced understanding of the potential outcomes of this market.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will the match end in a draw? at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Himachal Pradesh wins at 52.0%. These differences highlight how distinct communities interpret the available data surrounding the Ranji Trophy match.

This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ranji Trophy match between Himachal Pradesh and Rajasthan, as declared by the governing body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result of this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or changes in team lineups for either Himachal Pradesh or Rajasthan would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather forecasts for the match location are also a key signal, as adverse conditions could favor one team over the other. Additionally, performance in preceding matches or unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself could influence trader sentiment and shift probabilities. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.