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417,059

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VS.

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Ranji Trophy: Gujarat vs Kerala
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Gujarat vs Kerala?

Total volume:
$5,026
Volume 24h:
$5,024N/A
Liquidity:
$246
9%
Open interest:
$4,246
161%

Draw/Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 04d:04h:12m

Draw/Tie wins

44%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 43¢ buys you 233 shares | Odds: 44% Total Payout: $233 | Net Profit: $133 Multiplier: 2.33x | ROI: 133% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Draw/Tie

Trade
44%
Yes 43¢No 79¢
22¢
N/A
$2,110
0%
N/A
$1,927
4d 4h 12m
Active
polymarket

Draw

Trade
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 4h 12m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
44%
Yes 43¢No 79¢
Avg: 22¢Max: 22¢
kalshi

Gujarat

Trade
37%
25%
Yes 37¢No 89¢
26¢
N/A
$1,418
53,608%
N/A
$973
4d 4h 12m
Active
polymarket

Gujarat

Trade
22%
12%
Yes 41¢No 98¢
39¢
$152
$3
0%
N/A
N/A
6d 4h 12m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
37%
Yes 39¢No 93.5¢
Avg: 32.5¢Max: 39¢
kalshi

Kerala

Trade
34%
Yes 33¢No 91¢
24¢
N/A
$1,491
0%
N/A
$1,346
4d 4h 12m
Active
polymarket

Kerala

Trade
22%
31%
Yes 38¢No 94¢
32¢
$71
$4
0%
N/A
N/A
6d 4h 12m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
34%
Yes 35.5¢No 92.5¢
Avg: 28¢Max: 32¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a Ranji Trophy cricket match between Gujarat and Kerala, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Markets ask whether Gujarat will win, Kerala will win, or the match will end in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides detailed rules for tiebreakers and abandoned matches, while Kalshi simply resolves based on win/draw/tie.Hero tip: Polymarket's rules introduce additional risk related to abandoned matches and tiebreakers. Consider this when evaluating probabilities.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official statistics, with specific tiebreaker and abandonment rules. If a definitive outcome is determined before abandonment, that outcome stands.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if Gujarat, Kerala, or the match ends in a draw, without detailed provisions for tiebreakers or abandonment.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Ranji Trophy cricket match between Gujarat and Kerala, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve to draw. If the match otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Gujarat vs Kerala men's professional Test series cricket match scheduled for November 1, 2026. If Gujarat wins, the Gujarat market resolves Yes; if Kerala wins, the Kerala market resolves Yes; and if the match ends in a draw or tie, the Draw/Tie market resolves Yes. If the match is cancelled before commencement or abandoned before the toss with no official result, all markets resolve to a fair market price. If the match is delayed beyond five days from its original start time before commencement, all markets also resolve to a fair market price. However, if the match is abandoned after the toss, all markets resolve according to the official result declared by the governing body. Kalshi clarifies it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Ranji Trophy match across multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays a consensus view of the probabilities for various outcomes, currently showing a combined volume of $5,023. The dashboard allows you to compare how different prediction markets are pricing the event, offering a broader perspective than any single venue. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will the match end in a draw? at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Draw/Tie wins at 44.0%.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance risk and profit, while this market is driven by individuals betting on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. Differences may also arise due to varying levels of liquidity and the specific markets offered – sportsbooks may not offer the same granular options as prediction markets.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, influencing their trading decisions. Furthermore, the platforms have different fee structures and liquidity levels, which can impact price discovery. The volume traded on each platform – currently $5,003 in 24-hour volume – also plays a role, as higher volume generally leads to more efficient pricing. Finally, differing interpretations of available information about the Ranji Trophy match can contribute to these price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Ranji Trophy match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official scorecards and match reports published by the governing bodies of the tournament. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of this market. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on PredictionHero once the event has concluded and the results are official.

Several factors could significantly impact the probabilities in this market. Unexpected player injuries or changes in team lineups for either Gujarat or Kerala would likely cause shifts in the odds. Weather conditions during the match, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also be a major catalyst. News reports about team morale, pitch conditions, or strategic changes could also influence trader behavior and move the market. Any significant developments related to the teams or the playing environment could lead to volatility in this market up until Nov 9, 2026.