TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in the Scottish Premiership. The result is determined by which team wins the match within the regular time, including stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends with both teams scoring the same number of goals, it is considered a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Rangers vs St. Johnstone professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Rangers wins, the 'Rangers' market resolves to Yes. If St. Johnstone wins, the 'St. Johnstone' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after regular time including stoppage time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to openly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular result, they will buy contracts, driving up the price and bringing it closer to their collective assessment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Rangers vs St. Johnstone match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more contracts are traded, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The closer we get to the event, the more responsive the price becomes to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rangers vs St. Johnstone match, as determined by the governing football authorities. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or changes in public sentiment—perhaps driven by expert analysis—could impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market before Oct 24, 2026.