TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of goals. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in a professional Scottish Premiership soccer match between Rangers and Kilmarnock scheduled for October 10, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from consideration. Four distinct outcome conditions are defined: Rangers winning by more than 2.5 goals, Rangers winning by more than 1.5 goals, Kilmarnock winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Kilmarnock winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market matching the actual goal-differential at the end of regulation time will resolve accordingly. The operator explicitly disclaims official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders react to news and adjust their positions. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into public sentiment and potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Rangers vs Kilmarnock match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate views may incur losses. This dynamic process leads to a market price that reflects the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Rangers vs Kilmarnock match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official spread determined by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could significant pre-match analysis from sports commentators. Major news events affecting team morale or key players are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors and their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.