TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of goals. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of a professional Scottish Premiership soccer match between Rangers and Aberdeen, scheduled for October 31, 2026. Resolution depends on the goal differential between the two teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct criteria define a 'Yes' resolution: Rangers winning by more than 2.5 goals, Rangers winning by more than 1.5 goals, Aberdeen winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Aberdeen winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each criterion represents a separate condition under which the event resolves positively. The governing rules emphasize that the match must conclude within regular time for any of these conditions to apply, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public perception differs from expert analysis. Comparing the two can reveal interesting insights into where the crowd and the professionals diverge in their expectations for the Rangers vs Aberdeen match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of a contract reflects the market's current probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by news, injuries, team form, and overall betting sentiment surrounding the Rangers vs Aberdeen match. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the spread and trading contracts accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Rangers vs Aberdeen match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official final score, determining whether Aberdeen wins by more than 1.5 goals, or another outcome occurs. The platform will then settle all outstanding contracts based on the verified result, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 31, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Rangers or Aberdeen could shift expectations and influence trading activity. Unexpected changes in team form, managerial decisions, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also play a role. Any significant news related to player availability, tactical approaches, or overall team morale will likely be reflected in the price movements of contracts in this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.