TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in the Scottish Premiership. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard duration of play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Rangers vs Aberdeen professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Rangers wins, the 'Rangers' market resolves to Yes. If Aberdeen wins, the 'Aberdeen' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the likely outcome of the Scottish Premiership match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Scottish Premiership match. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Scottish Premiership match as reported by official league sources. The final score and any relevant match details will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Rangers or Aberdeen would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected team news, such as changes in formation or starting lineups, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any significant news regarding team morale, managerial decisions, or even weather conditions could sway market sentiment. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might also contribute to shifts in the market’s pricing as the Scottish Premiership match approaches.