TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:29 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Rangers FC and Kilmarnock FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Rangers FC" if Rangers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kilmarnock FC" if Kilmarnock FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Rangers FC and Kilmarnock FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Rangers FC" if Rangers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kilmarnock FC" if Kilmarnock FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of either Rangers FC or Kilmarnock FC scoring first. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized market. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as event time approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, meaning traders are effectively betting against each other rather than a traditional bookmaker.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Rangers FC or Kilmarnock FC—scored the first goal in the match. The result will be based on official match data and verified sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Rangers FC or Kilmarnock FC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift expectations. Even general news about team morale or recent performance could impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and influencing the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first.