TOTAL VOLUME:
$143.5b
24H VOL:
$202,688,956
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,692,829,820
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,734,437,429
480,371
Markets across
36,315
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,915
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Sep 27, 11:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the Over/Under 44.5 points scored in the NFL game between the Los Angeles Rams and the Denver Broncos. Currently, the consensus probability—aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi—indicates a 100.0% chance of Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5. Resolution will be based on the official NFL game result as published on https://www.nfl.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 27th, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 8:20PM ET: If Rams wins, the market will resolve to "Rams". If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team that wins the designated professional football game. If the game ends in a tie, each team’s market resolves to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven purely by participants’ beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. Generally, prediction markets are considered more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, as they incentivize honest signaling of information. However, sportsbooks often offer more favorable odds for certain bets, depending on their risk assessment and customer base.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before its resolution. Any major news regarding injuries to key players on either the Rams or the Broncos would likely cause a shift in predictions. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also influence the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create momentum and drive price movements. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and news coverage, can also play a role in shaping traders’ beliefs and influencing the outcome of this market.