TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Israeli Premier League. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win the match after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie, a separate market will resolve accordingly.
The event determines the winner of the Ramat Gan Givatayim vs Maccabi Petah Tikva professional Israeli Premier League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Ramat Gan Givatayim win, Maccabi Petah Tikva win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, attracting traders who aim to profit from the difference. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information and potentially outperform sportsbook odds in terms of accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates what traders believe is the fair value of each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Israeli Premier League match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, including any potential extra time or penalty shootouts, as reported by official league sources. The platform will then verify the result and settle the contracts accordingly, distributing payouts to winning traders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts could also cause shifts in the odds. Major upsets in other related matches, or even public betting patterns observed elsewhere, might also contribute to price movements in this market as traders react to new information.