TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Israeli Premier League between Ramat Gan Givatayim and Beitar Jerusalem. The result is determined by which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends with both teams scoring the same number of goals, it is considered a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Ramat Gan Givatayim vs Beitar Jerusalem professional Israeli Premier League soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective market if the named team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match concludes in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result after normal time, with no account for extended play or penalty-based decisions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will fall, resulting in implied probabilities that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more people want to buy a contract (believing an outcome is likely), the price increases; conversely, when more people want to sell, the price decreases. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the event’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ramat Gan Givatayim versus Beitar Jerusalem match as reported by official league sources. The final score and official match result will determine which outcome, if any, corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, performance in recent matches, tactical adjustments, and even public statements from key players can all contribute to price movements. Major upsets in other relevant matches within the league could also indirectly influence how traders assess the probabilities in this market.