TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:20 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CPBL game, scheduled for July 11 at 5:05AM ET: If the Rakuten Monkeys win, the market will resolve to "Rakuten Monkeys". If the TSG Hawks win, the market will resolve to "TSG Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming CPBL game, scheduled for July 11 at 5:05AM ET: If the Rakuten Monkeys win, the market will resolve to "Rakuten Monkeys". If the TSG Hawks win, the market will resolve to "TSG Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, player injuries, or even external factors like weather. It’s common to see prediction markets adjust rapidly to new information, sometimes moving ahead of sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome—in this case, either the Rakuten Monkeys or the TSG Hawks winning. As more shares are bought for one team, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand from traders on the platform, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rakuten Monkeys versus TSG Hawks baseball game, as reported by official league sources. The team with the most runs at the end of the game will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of shares traded in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Rakuten Monkeys or the TSG Hawks would likely have a significant impact. Weather forecasts, particularly if there’s a chance of rain or strong winds, could also move the market. Additionally, unexpected performance in preceding games or shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and social media, could all contribute to price fluctuations before Oct 10, 2026.