TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 4:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Shopify Rebellion and 100 Thieves in the North America League Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against 100 Thieves. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against Shopify Rebellion. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Shopify Rebellion and 100 Thieves in the North America League Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against 100 Thieves. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against Shopify Rebellion. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can offer valuable insight into where the crowd and the bookmakers disagree on the most likely result of the Rainbow Six Siege match. This can be a useful data point for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Rainbow Six Siege match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and evolving perspectives, offering a real-time gauge of expectations for the Shopify Rebellion versus 100 Thieves series.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the Rainbow Six Siege match between Shopify Rebellion and 100 Thieves, as reported by the tournament organizers. The winning team in the best-of-three series will determine the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially declared and verified, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the Rainbow Six Siege match concludes. Unexpected news regarding player form, team strategies, or even roster changes could significantly shift trader sentiment. In-match performance during the series itself, such as dominant map wins or individual player highlights, will also likely cause price fluctuations. Analyst predictions and public discussion surrounding the teams' chances could also play a role in shaping market expectations, leading to increased volume and price adjustments as the event unfolds.