TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:06h:27m
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This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between LOS and All Gamers in the BLAST R6 Major Osaka Phase 1, initially scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against All Gamers. This market will resolve to "All Gamers" if All Gamers win the match against LOS. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 5, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between LOS and All Gamers in the BLAST R6 Major Osaka Phase 1, initially scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against All Gamers. This market will resolve to "All Gamers" if All Gamers win the match against LOS. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 5, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting activity. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their true beliefs about the outcome of the Rainbow Six Siege Osaka match. It’s common to see prediction market prices adjust more dynamically as new information emerges, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional betting outlets. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of the anticipated result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, reflecting the collective assessment of the likelihood of Rainbow Six Siege: LOS or All Gamers winning the BO1 match. The current implied probability of the top outcome is 84.0%.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs All Gamers BO1 match during BLAST R6 Major Osaka Phase 1. The winning team, as declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the winning share in this market. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available, verified information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before the Rainbow Six Siege Osaka match. Any news regarding team rosters, player form, strategic changes, or even pre-match analysis from esports experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player health or potential map vetoes could also trigger price movements. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might also influence traders on Polymarket, as they attempt to capitalize on perceived discrepancies in probability assessments. Observing these factors can help understand potential shifts in the market.