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420,368

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Rainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs Lucky Five (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage
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What is the result of FURIA Esports vs Lucky Five?

Volume:
$3,567

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 9:47 PM EST

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Polymarket

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Match Winner

View
0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between FURIA Esports and Lucky Five in the South America League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against Lucky Five. This market will resolve to "Lucky Five" if Lucky Five win the match against FURIA Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between FURIA Esports and Lucky Five in the South America League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against Lucky Five. This market will resolve to "Lucky Five" if Lucky Five win the match against FURIA Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Rainbow Six Siege match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $3,567, with $3,524 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to monitor market sentiment and activity related to FURIA Esports versus Lucky Five. The dashboard provides a visual representation of how the perceived probability of each outcome is changing over time, reflecting the collective predictions of users on Polymarket.

Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but this market shows a more balanced probability, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is undervaluing the underdog. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news, analysis, and each other's actions, constantly updating the perceived likelihood of each team winning the Rainbow Six Siege match.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Rainbow Six Siege match between FURIA Esports and Lucky Five in the South America League Stage 2 Group Stage. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available game results and league standings. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either FURIA Esports or Lucky Five could shift the odds. Major upsets in other matches within the South America League could also influence perceptions of team strength and impact trading activity. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or prominent figures in the Rainbow Six Siege community offering strong opinions on the match's likely outcome could drive movement in this market.