TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Rainbow Six Siege: FearX vs SCARZ (BO3) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FearX vs SCARZ?

Volume:
$9,824

SCARZ

 - Kalshi

SCARZ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 9:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SCARZ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,508
N/A
N/A
$2,870
Settled
Yes
kalshi

FearX

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,391
N/A
N/A
$3,383
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,926
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: SZ (-1.5) vs FearX (+1.5)

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

This prediction group concerns a best-of-three Rainbow Six Siege match between FearX and SCARZ in the Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Playoffs. Markets cover the overall match winner, individual game winners, total games played, and a game handicap.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria are less comprehensive than Polymarket's, lacking explicit handling of cancellations, ties, and forfeits.Hero tip: Be aware that Kalshi's market may be more susceptible to 50-50 outcomes if the match doesn't conclude normally. Polymarket offers more clarity on how various match outcomes will be resolved.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to FearX or SCARZ if a winner is determined, 50-50 for cancellation/tie. Forfeits/disqualifications are explicitly addressed. "If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to FearX or SCARZ winning. No mention of ties, cancellations, or forfeits. "If SCARZ wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If FearX wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Lower Bracket Semifinal match between FearX and SCARZ in the Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FearX" if FearX win the match against SCARZ. This market will resolve to "SCARZ" if SCARZ win the match against FearX. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if SCARZ wins the specified match, and to No if FearX wins. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, the result follows the official outcome declared by the tournament organizers. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Rainbow Six Siege APAC North playoffs match between FearX and SCARZ. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $9,824, with $8,288 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a weighted view of probabilities, reflecting the collective predictions of traders on each platform. Polymarket currently favors Game Handicap: SZ (-1.5) vs FearX (+1.5) at 85 percent, while Kalshi leans toward Will FearX win the SCARZ vs. FearX R6 match? at an unlisted percentage.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on quantitative models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate the opinions of many individuals with skin in the game. This market, for example, shows a dynamic probability assessment based on real money at risk. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the incentive structure; prediction market participants are incentivized to be accurate, while sportsbooks aim to balance risk and profit.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific market structures offered on each platform—such as different contract types or settlement mechanisms—can lead to varying valuations. For instance, Polymarket currently favors Game Handicap: SZ (-1.5) vs FearX (+1.5) at 85 percent, while Kalshi leans toward Will FearX win the SCARZ vs. FearX R6 match? at an unlisted percentage, demonstrating differing trader sentiment across the two venues.