TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:01h:32m
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This prediction market concerns the outcome of a single Rainbow Six Siege match between DarkZero Esports and TYLOO in the BLAST R6 Major Osaka Phase 1. The market resolves to either DarkZero Esports winning, TYLOO winning, or a 50-50 split in the event of a cancellation, tie, or specific forfeiture scenarios.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 3 match between DarkZero Esports and TYLOO in the BLAST R6 Major Osaka Phase 1, initially scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "DarkZero Esports" if DarkZero Esports win the match against TYLOO. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against DarkZero Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 5, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Markets resolve based on the winning team of the BLAST R6 Major Osaka 2026: TYLOO vs. DarkZero Esports R6 match scheduled for Nov 5, 2026 at 7:30 PM EST. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. If the match is cancelled before play begins or forfeited before any play occurs, markets resolve to a fair price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, markets resolve according to the official result published by the governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a broader range of information and participant perspectives than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and need to account for profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, particularly as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate breaking news or shifts in sentiment compared to sportsbooks, offering a potentially more real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the way each platform handles order types and market making can contribute to price discrepancies. While Polymarket currently shows a strong bias toward DarkZero Esports, Kalshi’s market is still developing, leading to potentially divergent probabilities as traders on each platform assess the available information and risk tolerance.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team in the DarkZero Esports vs TYLOO match will determine the outcome. The result will be based on the official match results published by the tournament organizers. No further information regarding the specific resolution process is available at this time, but the outcome will be determined by the verified result of the BLAST R6 Major Osaka Phase 1 match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either DarkZero Esports or TYLOO could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map picks or bans could also shift the odds. In-game events during the match itself, such as early round wins or key player performances, won’t affect the market, as it resolves on the overall match winner. However, pre-match information and analysis will continue to drive price movement until the event’s conclusion.