TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Raiders vs. Patriots
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Raiders vs. Patriots?

Volume:
$2,261,433

Spread -3.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -3.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 4:24 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$321,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 45.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$88,039
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80,627
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$71,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70,728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 44.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$69,551
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 56.5

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49,932
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New England

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,743
N/A
N/A
$16,883
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,010
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,432
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,079
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 50.5

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,559
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,508
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,349
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 59.5

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,072
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 47.5

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,422
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,961
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,791
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -3.5

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 43.5

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 330

Intro

This market tracks whether both the Raiders and the Patriots will score points in the 4th quarter of their game on October 11th. Currently, the consensus probability of “Raiders vs. Patriots: Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q” is 100.0%. This aggregation combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official NFL game statistics as published on NFL.com. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 11th, as the final quarter will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi focuses on simple win/loss/tie for periods, while Polymarket offers detailed statistical markets resolved via the official NFL game book.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket for statistical markets and Kalshi for directional period-based predictions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves markets based on official NFL game book statistics (points, yards, touchdowns, etc.) with clear rules for ties, postponements, and cancellations. Offers a wide range of statistical markets.
  • Kalshi: Offers markets on who wins specific periods (1H, 2Q, etc.) with a simple win/loss/tie resolution. Lacks detailed statistical resolution criteria and relies on a basic outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NFL football game between Raiders and Patriots, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Raiders" if Raiders win the game. This market will resolve to "Patriots" if Patriots win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If New England wins the 1st Half of the LV Raiders vs NE Patriots Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Las Vegas wins the 1st Half of the LV Raiders vs NE Patriots Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Half of the LV Raiders vs NE Patriots Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates predictions on the Raiders-Patriots game from multiple platforms, providing a consensus view of potential outcomes. Currently, the total volume across all platforms is $2,261,433, with $2,010,833 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket and Kalshi both offer markets on this contest, allowing traders to express their beliefs about the final result. The dashboard displays the probabilities implied by the trading activity on each platform, giving a comprehensive overview of market sentiment surrounding the Raiders-Patriots game.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when significant information isn't yet widely reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks often offer more diverse bet types than are currently available in this market. Both can be valuable tools for analyzing the Raiders-Patriots game.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Key player injuries, changes in weather forecasts, or significant news regarding team strategies could all impact predictions. Unexpected announcements about coaching decisions or player availability would also likely cause movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media, can also play a role, though informed traders often prioritize data-driven analysis when assessing the Raiders-Patriots game.