TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin. The contest will determine the winner based on the result after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude in a draw.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Radomiak Radom occurs if they win the match outright within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for Motor Lublin occurs if they achieve a regular-time victory. If the match concludes with an equal score at the end of regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event exclusively considers results from regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks frequently set lines to attract balanced betting action, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the likely outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes a different result is more probable than sportsbooks suggest, or that information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines is present in the prediction market. It’s a useful comparison to consider when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates the cost to take a position on a specific result, and the difference between prices on different outcomes reveals the market’s implied probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of all contracts. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form for either Radomiak Radom or Motor Lublin could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even public sentiment expressed through social media and sports news outlets, could also contribute to price movements. Major upsets in other related matches, or even late-breaking news about team tactics, have the potential to shift trader sentiment and alter the market’s assessment of the likely outcome.