TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 12:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Serbian SuperLiga between Radnik and Radnicki Nis. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether either team will win or if the match will end in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Radnik vs Radnicki Nis professional Serbian SuperLiga soccer match originally scheduled for October 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Radnik wins, the 'Radnik' market resolves to Yes. If Radnicki Nis wins, the 'Radnicki Nis' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, with this market potentially showing different implied probabilities than those found at conventional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Radnik vs Radnicki Nis match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. The closer the event gets, the more volatile the prices may become as uncertainty decreases and traders refine their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Radnik vs Radnicki Nis match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and fulfill the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to significant price movements in this market.