TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 1:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Radnicki Nis and Partizan Belgrade in the Serbian SuperLiga. The result is determined by which team wins after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or if the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Radnicki Nis vs Partizan Belgrade professional Serbian SuperLiga soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026. A win for either Radnicki Nis or Partizan Belgrade after 90 minutes plus stoppage time resolves the respective market to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie after the same regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by analysts. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view through trading activity on this market, potentially driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison and understanding broader market expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time. The current price indicates the cost to take a position on a specific result in the Serbian SuperLiga match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Radnicki Nis versus Partizan Belgrade match in the Serbian SuperLiga. The official league standings and match reports will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct result will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. News regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a key player suspension or a change in venue, would likely cause significant price fluctuations. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in market sentiment and drive price movement. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities and refine their predictions for the Serbian SuperLiga match.