TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:22 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the La Liga match between Racing Santander (SAN) and Real Madrid (REA), scheduled for 2026-11-01 15:15 UTC. - SAN: If Racing Santander wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - REA: If Real Madrid wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both SAN and REA options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/
This market refers to the La Liga match between Racing Santander (SAN) and Real Madrid (REA), scheduled for 2026-11-01 15:15 UTC. - SAN: If Racing Santander wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - REA: If Real Madrid wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both SAN and REA options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Opinion, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as more people trade, potentially revealing insights that differ from traditional betting lines. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as the event approaches.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a simple supply and demand mechanism; increased demand drives up prices, while increased supply pushes them down. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system that attempts to accurately forecast the event's result.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Racing Santander vs Real Madrid match, as reported by a recognized sports news source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome. It’s important to monitor the market as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential developments that could influence the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Racing Santander or Real Madrid would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches, or even broader football news, could indirectly affect sentiment. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential market movements.