TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:06 PM EST
Kalshi
An NWSL soccer contest will feature two teams competing for a regular-time victory, with the specific result determining market outcomes. Fans and bettors will watch closely to see if either team secures a win or if the match ends evenly within the normal playing duration.
The market resolves according to the result of the Racing Louisville vs Utah Royals professional NWSL soccer game scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Racing Louisville resolves the "Racing Louisville" market to Yes; a win for Utah Royals resolves the "Utah Royals" market to Yes; and a tie resolves the "Tie" market to Yes. Extra time or penalty shootout outcomes are excluded. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours after the original date, markets will resolve to a fair price per the rules. Kalshi notes it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market aims to represent the true probability as assessed by traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of engagement from bettors versus prediction market participants. If you observe significant differences, it could indicate a potential opportunity or a disagreement about the likely outcome of the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Racing Louisville will win, they’ll buy 'yes' contracts, driving up the price and indicating a higher perceived probability.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Racing Louisville versus Utah Royals match as reported by official league sources. The market will determine which outcome – Racing Louisville winning, Utah Royals winning, or a draw – is the accurate result of the game. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Racing Louisville or Utah Royals would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather forecasts impacting playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also play a role in how this market prices the probability of each outcome.