TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Racing Club vs Penarol
kalshi

What is the result of Racing Club vs Penarol?

Volume:
$298,609

Penarol

 - Kalshi

Penarol - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 8:36 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Penarol

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$155,866
N/A
N/A
$64,387
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,968
N/A
N/A
$29,980
Settled
No
kalshi

Racing Club

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,775
N/A
N/A
$40,365
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Racing Club and Penarol in Uruguay's top division. The market focuses on determining the winner after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Participants can bet on either team winning or the match ending in a tie based on the final regulation-time result.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Racing Club vs Penarol professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Racing Club win, Penarol win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the regulation-time result, with no consideration given to post-regulation proceedings such as extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Racing Club vs Penarol match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time, providing insight into where traders are placing their bets. Currently, the total volume for this market is $298,609, with $172,492 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a clear view of market activity and sentiment surrounding the upcoming match.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. If there’s a significant difference between the implied probability here and sportsbook odds, it may signal an opportunity for informed traders to exploit a mispricing, though past performance is not indicative of future results.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices tend to become more efficient, incorporating new information and adjusting to changing circumstances. The current market depth and order flow can be observed directly on the Kalshi dashboard.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Racing Club vs Penarol match, as reported by an authoritative sports news source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources as the match approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the result.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Racing Club or Penarol would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Monitoring sports news and analysis leading up to Oct 5, 2026 is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.