TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s odds are mispriced, we may see the prediction market odds diverge. It's common to observe prediction markets being more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, as they aggregate a wider range of information and incentives.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Racing Club Montevideo vs. Montevideo Wanderers match, including any extra time or penalty shootouts if applicable. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings after the resolution is finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the teams’ chances of winning could drive price changes. Major upsets in other related matches or league standings might also indirectly affect this market as traders reassess probabilities.