TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:14 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Racing Club Montevideo and CA Penarol Montevideo, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Racing Club Montevideo vs. CA Penarol Montevideo match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Racing Club Montevideo and CA Penarol Montevideo, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Racing Club Montevideo vs. CA Penarol Montevideo match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all traders involved.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official exact score of the Racing Club Montevideo versus CA Penarol Montevideo match will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football association, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout for their shares after the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Racing Club Montevideo or CA Penarol Montevideo would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also affect the expected game dynamics and impact trading. Furthermore, any significant tactical announcements or changes in team formations leading up to the match could prompt traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions in this market.