TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:16h:58m
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This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Racing Club de Lens and Olympique de Marseille. The market also includes an option for 'Neither' if no goal is scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming match between Racing Club de Lens and Olympique de Marseille, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Racing Club de Lens" if Racing Club de Lens are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Olympique de Marseille" if Olympique de Marseille are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Racing Club de Lens and Olympique de Marseille, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Racing Club de Lens" if Racing Club de Lens are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Olympique de Marseille" if Olympique de Marseille are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the Lens vs. Marseille first-to-score market can arise from several factors. Differences in user bases, trading activity, and perceived information advantages all contribute to varying price formations. Polymarket might attract traders with specific expertise in French football, leading to a different assessment of each team’s chances than those on Predict. Furthermore, differing liquidity and market depth on each platform can influence price discovery. The current volume on Polymarket is lower than on Predict, which could amplify price swings.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team—Racing Club de Lens or Olympique de Marseille—officially scores the first goal in the match. Official match data from recognized sports authorities will be used to determine the winning outcome. The outcome of this market is determined by the official result of the event, not by any subjective interpretation or individual reporting.
Several signals could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Racing Club de Lens or Olympique de Marseille would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also move the market. Unexpected news surrounding key players or significant events impacting team morale are also potential catalysts for price movement before Nov 8, 2026.